A new study released last week from Paul Griffin, a professor in the UC Davis Graduate School of Management, claims that shareholder value has suffered in response to past (voluntary) public disclosures on conflict minerals. The release summary from Phys.org stated: Griffin and his research team examined 206 companies from December 2010 through March 2012 and found those companies — half who had voluntarily disclosed before the law became mandatory — lost $6.5 billion in shareholder value due to declining equity values. Both disclosing and nondisclosing companies were affected because of the ripple effect in capital markets when uncertainties arise about a particular business practice — using conflict minerals, in this case. The study methodology claims to correct for other factors possibly influencing stock pricing before and after such disclosures. Elm’s analysis of the impact of the 2010 Enough company rankings on corporate revenues was cited within the study, although Professor Griffin acknowledged the differing parameters and goals of the respective studies. We have only begun our review of Griffin’s study (given its timing, our plate has been full with the final SEC rule) and hope to have more detailed commentary soon.
Read more →Recently, Elm posted a piece discussing comments from Kevin Parker, the CEO of Deutsche Asset Management, an investment firm with three-fourths of US$1 trillion under management. We expanded that original post for EHS Journal, who just published it. The expanded … Continue reading →
For years, those of us in the environmental/sustainability profession have sought credible ways and metrics for quantifying the economic value of our efforts, activities and programs. A myriad of studies completed dating back to the late 1980s attempt to demonstrate “environmental value”. Most of these studies have shown rather tenuous linkages or used meaningless metrics. Interestingly, most of these studies link to equity markets – i.e., stock prices. Maybe because stock prices grab headlines, are tied to compensation or are the target to which Boards and senior executive generally manage. The problem is that environmental/sustainability matters don’t fit into this model, either because they tend not to be financially material, or they don’t develop economic certainty within the “current quarter” myopia of corporate management, financial markets and analysts. A recent article on the topic was published in The International News. The article includes an interview with Kevin Parker, CEO of Deutsche Asset Management (DeAM) on the subject of how capital markets currently view environmental/sustainability risks. DeAM manages over US$775 billion in assets. With simplicity, clarity and unquestionable credibility from the financial market viewpoint, Parker made key points in the article and interview: Bond markets are poised to punish polluting companies
Read more →Yesterday, the world’s largest retailer and its cadre of sustainability advisors released the 61-page Walmart Supplier GHG Innovation Program: Guidance Document. Elm has read through this document and provides a brief overview of what we think are several important points. What follows is a combination of excerpts from the document combined with Elm comments. Not all of these points are implementation “how-to’s”. Some of our comments reflect potential problems that should be evaluated by suppliers who are impacted by Walmart’s supplier sustainability initiatives. The program will initially focus on the following product categories: Animal feed, apparel, candy, cheese, frozen food, fruit, grains, household detergents, meat, media, milk, motor oil, pharmaceuticals, produce, sanitary paper products, snacks, soap & shampoo, soft drinks & beverages, televisions, and vegetables. GIVING CREDIT WHERE CREDIT IS DUE (TO WALMART) In past articles, Elm discussed our view there is a true business risk – rather than competitive advantage – to first-mover adoption of GHG reduction programs. We had anticipated that such risk would be rooted in regulatory requirements. While that may still be a concern in the longer term, it appears now that the more significant risk relates to Walmart suppliers. The retailer has specified that no
Read more →NYT reports that Washington has abandoned hope of issuing carbon legislation this year, including cap-and-trade. The inaction is also dragging down regional/state programs as well, including the well-hyped RGGI trading program. This shouldn’t come as a real surprise to anyone. But it does continue to increase the business uncertainty surrounding emissions in the US. Tune in again next year. Or the year after….
Read more →Our last entry discussed the concept of “Black Swan” events, a term created by noted author Nassim Nicholas Taleb to describe an event that is (a) so low in probablility that it is unforeseeable and (b) so catastrophic in impact that it changes history. Certainly, risk assessments are predictive in nature and no one can predict the future with complete certainty. But in our view, one of the best tools available for risk assessments is an open mind. This can be a challenge in the EHSS world as we generally have engineering and other technical backgrounds. We have been trained to seek absolutes and eliminate uncertainties. At Elm, we believe that involving external support helps to identify and explore events (and their related exposures) that are relevant but get “technically rationalized” by internal staff. With the BP oil spill and the December 2008 Kingston, Tennessee coal ash pond failure, we began thinking about some of the Black Swan events discussed with clients in the past. Below are a handful of EHSS Black Swan risk events that we have discussed with clients over the past years – and some that are currently on our mind. Radical change in EPA’s regulation of coal
Read more →Sure, there are some business risks that are readily identifiable to conform to the SEC’s Climate Risk Assessment Interpretive Guidance. Things like: Property damage from storms and sea level changes Increased costs related to new pollution controls and fuels Changes in customer procurement requirements. But read about the supply chain constraint that the UK energy company E.ON brought forward in a Reuters report: Lack of investment in the vessels used to build offshore wind farms could hinder Britain’s ambitions to shift to renewable energy, the head of E.ON UK’s Robin Rigg wind project told Reuters at the operations center in Workington, northwest England. Britain aims to install 32 gigawatts (GW) of offshore wind by 2020, enough to meet a quarter of the country’s electricity needs, and although there has been investment in turbines factories and ports, a lack of vessels could curtail targets. “The targets are very ambitious and the supply chain isn’t there for it to materialize. It definitely has to grow,” Ian Johnson, Robin Rigg offshore wind farm project manager said. “Aside from turbines, vessels to install equipment are expensive,” said Johnson adding that a lack of predictability over upcoming wind farm projects in the past had caused
Read more →Reuters has reported that the US Senate anticipates bringing the latest carbon emission bill to the floor next week. Although details are currently sketchy, there are some interesting facets revealed in that article: - The bill’s greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction target is 17% by the year 2020; - The baseline year for this reduction is 2005; - Regional and state-specific GHG cap-and-trade programs would be eliminated and replaced by a federal program. - Cap-and-trade for electric power generators would begin in 2012; for manufacturing, the program would begin in 2016; - Domestic and international off-sets would be allowable - Transportation emissions reductions would be achieved through a motor fuel fee that would hopefully spur various forms of innovation, efficiency and reductions One glaring aspect of these few details is whether/how companies will get “early action credit” for their GHG reduction efforts achieved prior to this bill’s 2005 baseline year. Corporations that made major strides in GHG reductions between 2000 and 2005 may find themselves on the wrong end of the “80/20 rule”. Those who chose to wait for more certainty could be in an improved competitive situation by spending less money to harvest the “low hanging fruit” to hit the
Read more →Last month, McKinsey & Co. published a study titled “How companies manage sustainability”. The survey was conducted in February 2010 and received responses from 1,946 executives representing a wide range of industries. The fact that the topic of sustainability is significant enough for McKinsey to conduct this analysis is notable. The study itself is short and it is easy to distill the major themes presented. Theme 1: “Sustainability” has no defined definition … many [companies] have no clear definition of [sustainability]. Overall, 20 percent of executives say their companies don’t. Among those that do, the definition varies: 55 percent define sustainability as the management of issues related to the environment (for example, greenhouse gas emissions, energy efficiency, waste management, green-product development, and water conservation). In addition, 48 percent say it includes the management of governance issues (such as complying with regulations, maintaining ethical practices, and meeting accepted industry standards), and 41 percent say it includes the management of social issues (for instance, working conditions and labor standards). Fifty-six percent of all the respondents define sustainability in two or more ways. Theme 2: What gets measured gets managed, or vice versa [E]xecutives [of proactive companies] … are more aware than executives
Read more →Environmental Leader has reported that the Hungarian government sold 2 million previously used CERs, the market became tepid. Then when prices fell from more than 12 euro per credit to less than one euro, trading was suspended on two exchanges, Bluenext and Nord Pool. The NYT provided more details of the transaction, stating The credits appear to be part of massive blocks of CERs awarded to Eastern European states and Russia after the collapse of Soviet-era industry. This created a loophole used by Hungary to reintroduce used CERs back into the market… Carbon traders said countries like Hungary were exploiting the loophole to earn more money from the carbon trading system than they could by selling the credits that they had previously earned under the Kyoto system… The traders said at least one other E.U. member state had acted similarly earlier this year. The EU said they were “surprised and concerned” about the situation. BusinessWeek quoted others who expressed more urgency about the matter: “The supply and demand dynamics have been changed,” said Paul Kelly, chief executive officer of JPMorgan’s EcoSecurities unit. While the scope of the problem has yet to be determined, buyers are “questioning the authenticity” of what
Read more →
Follow Us!
By PDGACO GaballaLoans